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>> v virginia will still probably end op in obama's camp. >> i look at the polls when we started the program and romney is up on average -- >> there is another poll that shows that obama is up in virginia. but he has been running strong in virginia, and even with the heavair onslaught by romney, it still shows the northern virginia area, which will be very important in the state, supports barack obama. >> new hampshire could be in play. >> new hampshire traditionally was a republican state. it only b became democratically presidential -- presidentiay democraratic recently. but the proroblem romney is that unless he real gets surge that covers a lot of these states, if he loses ohio and virginia, let's say, or ohio and ioiowa or ohio and wisconsin, he has to run the table on the other ones. >> you will get confused unless you are a jockey, but everybody seems agree that the path is clearer and simpler for obama than for romney, even though t. is such close race. it is easier to see the combinatn that gets -- >> a lot of talk about potential es in the electoral college. >> which i thin
>> v virginia will still probably end op in obama's camp. >> i look at the polls when we started the program and romney is up on average -- >> there is another poll that shows that obama is up in virginia. but he has been running strong in virginia, and even with the heavair onslaught by romney, it still shows the northern virginia area, which will be very important in the state, supports barack obama. >> new hampshire could be in play. >> new hampshire...
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Oct 28, 2012
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one of the other arguments the obama campaign makes these national polls. gallup poll has shown consistently a seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these obama voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. we have rasmussen and gallup in one corner. according to the gallup and rasmussen we're headed for a landslide for romney. 11-point victory, he got seven, obama. they lost last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i think, i think it's going to be extremely close. i think, like nicolle, it's going to be about ohio, the auto bailout. of all the policies and the arguments -- >> or miscounting latino voters. or people who don't respond to hard-line phone calls. or just the science of polling. >> or the number of times i have refused to pick up my phone when i can see it's research firm. but, nonetheless, i think a nightmare frankly, maybe we can all agree on this, is that there are some electoral college/popular vote difference. >> one scenario is that it just doesn't come down to one st
one of the other arguments the obama campaign makes these national polls. gallup poll has shown consistently a seven-point lead for romney. simply missing these obama voters who will get out again. >> we have two polling races. we have rasmussen and gallup in one corner. according to the gallup and rasmussen we're headed for a landslide for romney. 11-point victory, he got seven, obama. they lost last time by huge amounts. i don't know what's going on out there. george, none of us does, i...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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-- >> you can take your calls in virginia, because another poll shows obama is up in virginia. even with the heavy onslaught by romney, it still shows the northern virginia area still pretty much supports barack obama. >> new hampshire could be in play. >> new hampshire traditionally was a republican state. it only presidentially became a democratic state recently . >> then bartlet came along. >> the problem for ravi here is that unless he gets the search, it is close enough that if he loses ohio and virginia, let's say, or ohio and wisconsin, he pretty much passed to run the table in the other ones. >> you can get very confused unless you are a junkie trying to figure out the permutations, but everybody agrees that the path is clear and simpler for all of the then romney, even though it is a close race. -- clearer and simpler for obama that romney, even though it is a close race. >> a lot of talk about potential ties to the electoral college. >> which i think is a beach. but let's be clear, at the momentum is for romney and has been since that first debate. nina and to the new
-- >> you can take your calls in virginia, because another poll shows obama is up in virginia. even with the heavy onslaught by romney, it still shows the northern virginia area still pretty much supports barack obama. >> new hampshire could be in play. >> new hampshire traditionally was a republican state. it only presidentially became a democratic state recently . >> then bartlet came along. >> the problem for ravi here is that unless he gets the search, it is...
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Oct 28, 2012
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>> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micromanaging, micro-issuing these of votes. interestingly, the republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why and they won that close election. it sort of fell into disrepair today are building it back up now, but i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> there is another question. which candidate has the most d.c. asked to come most engaged, most dedicated supporters? >> that is a hard one to answer. clearly after the first debate, the republican party at everly and these as to support their. romney did do well compared to obama. there was disappointme
>> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices....
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be decided because of our system the electoral college obama is still leading in many of those polls i think the hurricane might play a role because obama has proven himself a decisive leader in dealing with a crisis and the economy is slowly improving the economy of course is the number one issue on americans minds i think he will find a way to win this election while talking about economy i know it sounds like a simple question but which of the candidates has a better plan to get the use economy back on track there is no simple answer when it comes to the economy as you know there is a world crisis i believe president obama has a better plan he understands the need in the short term to stimulate the economy remember he came in in what was the greatest financial crisis since the depression in our country his recovery program helped create or save two point five million jobs to invest in america today in the short term and create jobs is very important i think president romney's idea of cutting taxes for the richest of deregulating of giving more money to the military more than our g
be decided because of our system the electoral college obama is still leading in many of those polls i think the hurricane might play a role because obama has proven himself a decisive leader in dealing with a crisis and the economy is slowly improving the economy of course is the number one issue on americans minds i think he will find a way to win this election while talking about economy i know it sounds like a simple question but which of the candidates has a better plan to get the use...
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a poll shows obama leading by just two points, but a mason dixon poll gives romney the edge. 51% of likely voters say they'll vote for the republican candidate, while 45% say they'll vote for obama. so another state that could be a make or break state for both campaigns, we're talking about colorado now, which is home to nine electoral votes. in 2008, obama won that state. but in the past, it has favored republicans. kyung lah joins us from englewood, colorado, where mitt romney will be holding a rally later on today. nearly 1.5 million people have already voted in colorado there by mail-in, early voting, et cetera. what is the impact that is expected? >> well, what we're expecting is that we're going to know colorado very quickly, if it is overwhelmingly one way or the other. that's according to the secretary of state. this complicates things for those trying to get registered independents on their side, specifically mitt romney. if you look at the numbers, 85% of all registered voters will have voted before tuesday. already, we're hearing 1.6 million votes have already been sent in to th
a poll shows obama leading by just two points, but a mason dixon poll gives romney the edge. 51% of likely voters say they'll vote for the republican candidate, while 45% say they'll vote for obama. so another state that could be a make or break state for both campaigns, we're talking about colorado now, which is home to nine electoral votes. in 2008, obama won that state. but in the past, it has favored republicans. kyung lah joins us from englewood, colorado, where mitt romney will be holding...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier i spoke with nhk world's nishikawa on obama's successes and his failures. mishiko the president is not the first president, obviously, to promise change. but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he has done? >> right. well, obama did change a number of things, and not the least of which is, of course, health care reform. presidents on both sides of the aisle have tried before him and failed and he ended the war in iraq and he passed the stimulus among a number of other financial initiatives. some experts say he was perhaps too ambitious. >> coming in to his administration was to really change the course of foreign policy and economic policy that the administration had been following, and he was elected on that mandate. but it was again, difficult for him to achieve that -- that change. partly because the problem is so huge that you can't really change the structure of the economy and military and foreign policy in four years. he la
is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier i spoke with nhk world's nishikawa on obama's successes and his failures. mishiko the president is not the first president, obviously, to promise change. but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he has done? >> right. well, obama did change a number of things, and not the least of which is, of course, health care reform....
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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KRCB
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is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier gene otani spoke about obama's successes and his failures. >> the president is not the first president obviously to promise change, but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he's done? >> obama did change a number of things and not the least of which is of course health care reform. presidents on both sides of the aisle tried before him and failed. and he ended the war in iraq and he passed the stimulus among a number of other financial initiatives. somexper say hwas peap too ambitious. >> coming in he said the administration was to really change the course of foreign policy and economic policy that the bush administration had been following. and he was elected on that mandate. but it was again difficult for him to achieve that change. apparently because the problem is so huge that they can't reallyhange the suctural economy and military policy, foreign policy, in two, four years. he laid the groundwork, but i don't think he's achie
is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier gene otani spoke about obama's successes and his failures. >> the president is not the first president obviously to promise change, but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he's done? >> obama did change a number of things and not the least of which is of course health care reform. presidents on both sides of the aisle...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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we have shown obama up in five polls, very close. >> sean: you are the only ones that have him up? >> most of the polls show it close. i think this is going to be a state that is going to be all about the turnout on election day. >> gregg:. >> sean: according to early voting, obama is not doing that well and romney is doing better. you wrote a column and wisconsin may be the new ohio. no republican has gotten to the white house except through ohio. if romney was to lose ohio but if he wins the other three states fh he wins. >> it is possible. that makes wisconsin a divisive state. if we go to to the early states, romney wins florida and virginia president obama wins ohio, then can romney wins a state that obama won by 14 points. >> paul ryan is very popular in wisconsin. >> there three things. state changed between 2008 and 2010 that helped walker. then a huge battle over walker's plan. the recall effort forced republicans to build a great organization that has been turned over to the presidential campaign. polls are very close. paul ryan is added to the particular. nationally bigg
we have shown obama up in five polls, very close. >> sean: you are the only ones that have him up? >> most of the polls show it close. i think this is going to be a state that is going to be all about the turnout on election day. >> gregg:. >> sean: according to early voting, obama is not doing that well and romney is doing better. you wrote a column and wisconsin may be the new ohio. no republican has gotten to the white house except through ohio. if romney was to lose...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier gene otani spoke about obama's successes and his failures. >> the president is not the first president obviously to promise change, but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he's done? >> obama did change a number of things and not the least of which is of course health care reform. presidents on both sides of the aisle tried before him and failed. and he ended the war in iraq and he passed the stimulus among a number of other financial initiatives. some experts say he was perhaps too ambitious. >> coming in he said the administration was to really change the course of foreign policy and economic policy that the bush administration had been following. and he was elected on that mandate. but it was again difficult for him to achieve that change. apparently because the problem is so huge that they can't really change the structural economy and military policy, foreign policy, in two, four years. he laid the groundwork, but i don't thi
is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier gene otani spoke about obama's successes and his failures. >> the president is not the first president obviously to promise change, but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he's done? >> obama did change a number of things and not the least of which is of course health care reform. presidents on both sides of the aisle...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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>> wolf, you know, our poll showed obama leading romney by three points here, i interviewed govern nor both of them were dismissing public polling saying our models show that the turnout is going to favor republicans. republicans are more enthusiastic. but i went out this morning with some afl-cio organizers. people are talking about turnout. the obama campaign says they've contacted over 120 million vote ners all these battleground states. they have a larger and more sophisticated ground operation. so that's what going on in the end. it's going to come down to turnout. this is a base election. and that's what both campaigns are doing right now is getting their people to vote early, either the obama campaign is doing their famous souls to the polls push tomorrow morning after churches. that's what we're looking at now. >> peter doing some good reporting for us in clumus ohio. still to come, more on the race for the white house. we've got a lot more on the race for the white house. >>> we're also following the aftermath of the superstorm sandy, four days in a shelter with no shower. we'
>> wolf, you know, our poll showed obama leading romney by three points here, i interviewed govern nor both of them were dismissing public polling saying our models show that the turnout is going to favor republicans. republicans are more enthusiastic. but i went out this morning with some afl-cio organizers. people are talking about turnout. the obama campaign says they've contacted over 120 million vote ners all these battleground states. they have a larger and more sophisticated ground...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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president obama is leading the republican challenger in iowa in most polls. the des moines register iowa poll puts the president ahead 47-42%. >> that and time for a last look of weather sunday. it's going to be sunny. >> i know, what more can you say? i wish i could show you a live picture outside. and put up the seven-day forecast and temperatures are outside. seventys, 80s by later on this afternoon. monday and tuesday, we could so record highs for the first start of the workweek and wednesday is a bit of a tracheasition will day. thursday and friday, looks like we have a good chance, a good chance of rain moving in across the bay area and temperatures really plunge. only going to reach into the 60s, 50s and 60s in our inland spots and that is going to be cool. >> that is all over the board. >> all across the board. >> yeah. >> and tonight, let's remember, it's going to be dark early. >> right. >> and -- . >> that is a good reminder. >> no forecast is complete. this time, the luxurious vacation, they're not just for human beings anymore. ann. >> and we hav
president obama is leading the republican challenger in iowa in most polls. the des moines register iowa poll puts the president ahead 47-42%. >> that and time for a last look of weather sunday. it's going to be sunny. >> i know, what more can you say? i wish i could show you a live picture outside. and put up the seven-day forecast and temperatures are outside. seventys, 80s by later on this afternoon. monday and tuesday, we could so record highs for the first start of the workweek...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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barack obama has never gotten more than 49% in any of these polls. whether it is head to head or job approval. he has not been able to get over 49%. i think that is what -- you have to get over 49% to be elected president of the united states. host: give me what county that will be a bellwether on election night. guest: i believe one thing the chairman said. i think chester county is an important county to look at. there is no evidence to suggest mitt romney and brought the obama are going to come out of the four caller counties even. when you look at what happened in montgomery county four years ago, barack obama came out of chester county up about 20,000 votes. you will certainly see some tightening this time, but you will see the president come out of the five county area will for at least a 600,000 vote margin, which will carry him through the rest of the state. i am looking at montgomery county, and if i may, i could agree that chester county is a bellwether. we have a strong democratic team. i think the president will do well in the southeast.
barack obama has never gotten more than 49% in any of these polls. whether it is head to head or job approval. he has not been able to get over 49%. i think that is what -- you have to get over 49% to be elected president of the united states. host: give me what county that will be a bellwether on election night. guest: i believe one thing the chairman said. i think chester county is an important county to look at. there is no evidence to suggest mitt romney and brought the obama are going to...
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Nov 2, 2012
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in ohio, that same poll shows president obama also up only 2 but two percentage points. 47% to 45%. in wisconsin where the president started his post-hurricane campaign today an abc news "wall street journal" maris poll has him up 49 to 46%. but governor romney is leading in colorado which is another state president obama visited today. the lead there is just one point, 47% to 46%. that's according to reuters ipso. back with us our three political junkies extraordinaire. pollster david herman, joe garifoli. from all of the polls, there were 29 polls that came out. you are the pollster. this momentum, is it baked in? >> the advantage obama has is baked in inn a lot of the states. i would be shocked to see romney take ohio. and if he can't take ohio, it is really hard to see what his path is. >> jennifer: virginia? >> i think obama takes virginia as well and i think he does it thanks to latino and asian voters. >> jennifer: interesting. he takes iowa. >> i think he takes iowa. >> and wisconsin. >> and wisconsin. >> and nevada. [ laughter ] >> those are all close. every one of those is
in ohio, that same poll shows president obama also up only 2 but two percentage points. 47% to 45%. in wisconsin where the president started his post-hurricane campaign today an abc news "wall street journal" maris poll has him up 49 to 46%. but governor romney is leading in colorado which is another state president obama visited today. the lead there is just one point, 47% to 46%. that's according to reuters ipso. back with us our three political junkies extraordinaire. pollster...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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our last poll, just after the first debate -- is edging up, but obama has a steady lead. it is a democratic-leaning state these days. there has not been an awful lot of campaign activity in terms of action by the candidates. more important advertising -- they have not really targeted the state this year, unlike 2008 and the previous four cycles. host: there is an awful lot of advertising in the separate -- senate race, particularly by tom smith, the republican nominee. your polling shows that race is closer -- senator casey is still holding a lead of seven points over tom smith. what is happening in that race? caller: it is a simple matter of if you spend $17 million of your own money you can get hearing from people. senator caseous a member -- casey is a member of an institution that is not very popular these days, the congress. smith has gained traction just on the strength of his message. introducing himself to voters. that could be one of the surprises on election night. host: let's take this question today is -- two ways -- what can republicans read into the polling
our last poll, just after the first debate -- is edging up, but obama has a steady lead. it is a democratic-leaning state these days. there has not been an awful lot of campaign activity in terms of action by the candidates. more important advertising -- they have not really targeted the state this year, unlike 2008 and the previous four cycles. host: there is an awful lot of advertising in the separate -- senate race, particularly by tom smith, the republican nominee. your polling shows that...
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Nov 4, 2012
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. >> most americans, polls show, like barack obama. ♪ i'm so in love with you [ cheers and applause ] >> when he sings a little song and he acts a little cool or he shoots baskets or he tells a joke, people still swoon over him. >> his cool demeanor plays as hip to some. >> why? >> here on "saturday night live." >> i keep it cool. i take my kids to school. i don't lose my temper. it's my only rule. i keep it cool. >> aides call it one of his greatest assets. >> there's no doubt that he is cool under fire. when things get challenging, he's at his best. he's at his coolest. so that coolness is a great quality in a leader. >> cool as president but passionate about his role as father in chief. >> it has to be a balance. bill clinton was imbalanced. so he needed those strangers. so he would spend the hours between 6:00 and 9:00 talking to people in congress whereas president obama's basically with his family during those hours, which is sort of a balancing to do. but not necessarily good for a president. >> when working in town here in washington, in the evenings, 6:30, we want to be at th
. >> most americans, polls show, like barack obama. ♪ i'm so in love with you [ cheers and applause ] >> when he sings a little song and he acts a little cool or he shoots baskets or he tells a joke, people still swoon over him. >> his cool demeanor plays as hip to some. >> why? >> here on "saturday night live." >> i keep it cool. i take my kids to school. i don't lose my temper. it's my only rule. i keep it cool. >> aides call it one of his...
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Nov 4, 2012
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polls in the state favor president obama, but not by as much as they once did. the romney campaign calls it expanding the electoral map. the obama campaign calls it a fairy tale. well, in the parallel universe phase of the campaign. joining me is chicago mayor and former white house chief of staff rahm emanuel. let me start by showing a poll out of pennsylvania showing that the president's numbers have been slipping since september, and it's now looking like not a four-point race in pennsylvania, which is inside the margin of error. are you all worried about that? >> no. i think, look, the campaign is set, and i think people remember going into this election are jobs and you just had a report friday of 171,000 jobs were created, and, candy, i think when i saw that number the fact that january 2009 when the president first got elected we got the report within ten days about his election, which is on the january numbers. we showed 839,840,000 jobs lost. now we're 171,000 jobs gain. that's a million job swing in the right direction, and i think people know it's no
polls in the state favor president obama, but not by as much as they once did. the romney campaign calls it expanding the electoral map. the obama campaign calls it a fairy tale. well, in the parallel universe phase of the campaign. joining me is chicago mayor and former white house chief of staff rahm emanuel. let me start by showing a poll out of pennsylvania showing that the president's numbers have been slipping since september, and it's now looking like not a four-point race in...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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president obama a four point advantage over governor romney. in the fight for women voters, obama has a commanding lead in ohio but a lot can change of course between now and november 6th. the surprise is what john sununu told me last night is not going to go away. it could become a big problem for romney. sununu, a key romney surrogate, has put race and frankly, charges of racism front and center in the final days of the campaign when romney would have least wanted him to. let's get right to it. i asked him last night about former secretary of state colin powell's endorsement of president obama. this is what sununu said and why it's creating a political firestorm. final question. colin powell has decided to opt for president obama again despite apparently still being a republican. is it time he left the party, do you think? >> well, i'm not sure how important that is. i do like the fact that colin powell's boss, george herbert walker bush, has endorsed mitt romney all along, and frankly, when you take a look at colin powell, you have to wonder
president obama a four point advantage over governor romney. in the fight for women voters, obama has a commanding lead in ohio but a lot can change of course between now and november 6th. the surprise is what john sununu told me last night is not going to go away. it could become a big problem for romney. sununu, a key romney surrogate, has put race and frankly, charges of racism front and center in the final days of the campaign when romney would have least wanted him to. let's get right to...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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romney lost this debate on points but he won it because he contradicted the image barack obama has sought to portray of him, reckless, bombing people, putting troops in syria. that is why you are seeing the steady momentum of romney which as of today puts him up in the gallup poll 5. >> el more? >> you can cite the national poll all you want but the election is all about ohio and the president is still doing well there. mr. romney went into this debate not wanting to win, and he didn't. but he wanted to reassure people he wasn't going back to the george w. bush ollis policies. no more iraqs. and he wanted to assure women he was not a war monger. >> uh-huh. >> talking about a peaceful planet and gender quality in the middle east. it is astounding how he has shifted his policies. in fairness he has two sets of advisers. reasonable people working for him and some who would like to reenact the bush years. i think he hears from beth the realists and that additionallists won out certainly in this debate. >> i notes you characterized him as mr. romney. the president did that also during the deba
romney lost this debate on points but he won it because he contradicted the image barack obama has sought to portray of him, reckless, bombing people, putting troops in syria. that is why you are seeing the steady momentum of romney which as of today puts him up in the gallup poll 5. >> el more? >> you can cite the national poll all you want but the election is all about ohio and the president is still doing well there. mr. romney went into this debate not wanting to win, and he...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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what is internal polling showing about how many of those voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think president obama will pull it off, because he has such an excellent ground game, and because of these big city issues that are born to the people of new hampshire. we talk about real depth is a reduction, the specifics of his plan, unlike mitt romney to has yet to answer how he will pay for his plan. the people understand you want someone willing to talk about specifics, someone who has a record of cutting taxes for working-class and middle-class people. someone who has a record for cutting taxes for small businesses. the president has signed 18 tax cuts into law for small business people. i thin
what is internal polling showing about how many of those voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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. >> most americans, polls show, like barack obama. ♪ i'm so in love with you [ cheers and applause ] >> when he sings a little song and he acts a little cool or he shoots baskets or he tells a joke, people still swoon over him. >> his cool demeanor plays as hip to some. >> why? >> here on "saturday night live." >> i keep it cool. i take my kids to school. i don't lose my temper. it's my only rule. i keep it cool. >> aides call it one of his greatest assets. >> there's no doubt that he is cool under fire. when things get challenging, he's at his best. he's at his coolest. so that coolness is a great quality in a leader. >> cool as president but passionate about his role as father in chief. >> a politician has to be sort of imbalanced. bill clinton was imbalanced. he needed those strangers. so he would spend the hours between 6:00 and 9:00 talking to people in congress, whereas president obama's basically with his family during those hours, which is sort of a balancing to do, but not necessarily good for a president. >> when working in town here in washington, in the evenings, 6:30, we
. >> most americans, polls show, like barack obama. ♪ i'm so in love with you [ cheers and applause ] >> when he sings a little song and he acts a little cool or he shoots baskets or he tells a joke, people still swoon over him. >> his cool demeanor plays as hip to some. >> why? >> here on "saturday night live." >> i keep it cool. i take my kids to school. i don't lose my temper. it's my only rule. i keep it cool. >> aides call it one of his...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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MSNBC
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our poll gives the path six-point lead in iowa. obama three points ahead in wisconsin. that is within the margin of error. two in new hampshire. again, within the margin of error there. the 2% difference. the president at 49% in all three of these states. this after a poll yesterday had him five points ahead in ohio. is there any way for mitt romney to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are likely voter models. the polls are making the assumption with the turnout, what the shape of the electorate is going to be on election day. if that model is wrong, you have a major problem. you could have more republicans turning out and fewer democrats turning out. if the demographics are wrong, the same thing. this has been a very difficult -- i'm going to be honest, a very difficult election for me to get a handle on because you see this continuing schism between the national polls which show a tied race or a small, narrow romney lead in the key battlegrounds where you can show presid
our poll gives the path six-point lead in iowa. obama three points ahead in wisconsin. that is within the margin of error. two in new hampshire. again, within the margin of error there. the 2% difference. the president at 49% in all three of these states. this after a poll yesterday had him five points ahead in ohio. is there any way for mitt romney to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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CNNW
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you talk to the obama campaign, they'll point to that marquette poll and they'll say it's more accurate. it seems likie internal polls ae in between the two. the bottom line, while he has a lead that is significant, you have to pay attention to it, it's not quite comfortable. that's why you're seeing president obama here today. we saw joe biden here last week. but paul ryan was here yesterday. mitt romney will be here tomorrow. bill clinton last night and this morning. there is a lot of surrogate traffic and part of that is because early voting is under way right now and goes on through tomorrow. and both sides are really trying to energize people and get them out to the polls during this week. >> brianna, i'm looking behind you. just quickly peek over the back of your shoulder to your left, air force one just came right into a perfect view for us. thank you very much. but i want to ask you, this was a campaign stop in green bay that was really supposed to happen tuesday, which the president cancelled because of the storm and emergency work that he needed to do. so what did they do? did
you talk to the obama campaign, they'll point to that marquette poll and they'll say it's more accurate. it seems likie internal polls ae in between the two. the bottom line, while he has a lead that is significant, you have to pay attention to it, it's not quite comfortable. that's why you're seeing president obama here today. we saw joe biden here last week. but paul ryan was here yesterday. mitt romney will be here tomorrow. bill clinton last night and this morning. there is a lot of...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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guest: it would help president obama. i was talking to someone on the issue of colorado amendment 64. it is a republican stronghold but support for legalization down there was high among both democrats and republicans. that is a testament to the libertarian spirit. it's really not the government's business what i do in the privacy of my own home and a lot of them look at the nation's war on drugs, specifically marijuana and things were a lot of money has been wasted on the effort. people were pushing the legalization efforts here equate marijuana and alcohol and the measure calls to regulate marijuana like alcohol. our newspaper has supported legalization. we came out in opposition to amendment 64, the legalization piece this year, because we did not think this was the right vehicle. host: what about third-party candidates in colorado? guest: a lot of us in colorado who have already received their ballots and saw the number of candidates on the balance were surprised. we have 16 here. former new mexico gov. gary johnson r
guest: it would help president obama. i was talking to someone on the issue of colorado amendment 64. it is a republican stronghold but support for legalization down there was high among both democrats and republicans. that is a testament to the libertarian spirit. it's really not the government's business what i do in the privacy of my own home and a lot of them look at the nation's war on drugs, specifically marijuana and things were a lot of money has been wasted on the effort. people were...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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"washington post" poll, president obama leads about 51% to governor romney's 47%. back in september, the president had a stronger lead, 52% to 44% in virginia. why do you think the governor has been able to close the gap in the commonwealth? >> i think just like you see nationally and a lot of other swing states, after a first debate performance in early october for governor romney. he managed to show people kind of a different face than they had seen in a lot of negative advertisements or depicted by president obama and a lot of his allies. you've seen him gain nationally in a lot of swing states just like in virginia. the question is, have enough momentum now to put him over the top and that's kind of the question that everyone is asking themselves nine days out from the election now. >> in virginia, like other states, it can be separated in several states within a state. you've got southwest virginia, you've got hampton roads area and norfolk and the richmond area. you've got the d.c. suburbs, arlington and fairfax and alexandria. let's talk about the democratic
"washington post" poll, president obama leads about 51% to governor romney's 47%. back in september, the president had a stronger lead, 52% to 44% in virginia. why do you think the governor has been able to close the gap in the commonwealth? >> i think just like you see nationally and a lot of other swing states, after a first debate performance in early october for governor romney. he managed to show people kind of a different face than they had seen in a lot of negative...